Posts Tagged ‘Real Estate’

Housing Price Index – May 2009

Wednesday, July 29th, 2009

The Teranet Housing Price Index released their data for May 2009 today. The composite index level for May 2009 is at 120.05 which represents a -6.92% decrease year over year but a 0.72% increase month over month from April. Year to date the composite index has dropped -4.4%.

Summary

House Price Index – May 2009

Thursday, May 28th, 2009

A useful tool for analyzing the health of the Canadian real estate market is the Teranet / National Bank House Price Index which released its May 2009 report today. According to the report housing prices across Canada decreased by 5.8% year over year from March 2008 to March 2009 which extends a 4 month streak of consecutive year over year declines. Since the peak of housing prices in August 2008 prices have also fallen about 8.5%.

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The report also breaks out housing price trends for the 6 major metropolitan areas of Toronto, Vancouver, Montreal, Ottawa, Calgary and Halifax.

Metropolitan area Index level
Mar-2009
% change m/m % change y/y From peak Peak Date
Calgary 152.97 -0.8 % -8.4 % -12.7% Aug-2007
Halifax 118.17 1.0 % -0.8 % -3.0% Nov-2008
Montreal 120.60 0.0 % 2.9 % -1.6% Sep-2008
Ottawa 113.14 -0.5 % 1.0 % -4.3% Oct-2008
Toronto 104.68 -1.9 % -6.9 % -10.8% Aug-2008
Vancouver 133.02 -1.7 % -9.6 % -11.7% Jun-2008
National Composite 119.62 -1.3 % -5.8 % -8.5% Aug-2008

As you can see from the table above the largest declines in price from the peak have been experienced in Calgary, Vancouver and Toronto.

A lot of the economic turmoil that has occurred in the United States over the last year has been related to the rapid correction in their housing market. I saw a stat yesterday that US housing prices have dropped over 33% since the peak a couple of years ago and are continuing to decline according to the latest S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index report from May.

Some people are of the opinion that Canadian housing prices have not declined as much as US housing prices as a result of stricter mortgage lending regulations imposed by the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation. However one has to question if the Canadian housing market still has a long way to go before it hits the bottom.

I will continue to post the lastest trends from the Teranet / National Bank House Price monthly report as they are released to keep you informed of the trends.